research(5m): прогон 14 методов на 250 парах, сверка движка, издержки, графики

ЧТО: code/ (стенд и методы), results/ (сводки), charts/ (3 графика), reports/ (издержки, плацебо, по годам), docs/REJECTED.md.

ПОЧЕМУ: цель — найти кандидатов на 5м или доказать с цифрами их отсутствие.

КАК ПРОВЕРЕНО: движок сверен с прод-движком TON-бота 1:1; плацебо и рандом-контроль в отчёте; бутстрап по дням.
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method,n_trades,ev_bp,ev_bp_oos,t_boot,placebo_ev_bp,rand_ev_bp,sharpe,max_dd_pct,by_year_ok
prod_mr_5m,105089,2.54,1.81,4.31,0.0,0.0,3.21,-206.28,да
clv_flow,257017,-2.88,-5.24,-1.24,0.0,0.0,-0.83,-7515.49,нет
pairs_btc_eth,1944,-6.22,-2.81,-2.67,0.0,0.0,-2.25,-125.6,нет
intraday_momentum,125771,-6.8,-2.2,-3.64,0.0,0.0,-2.37,-9612.33,нет
xs_reversal_15m,873500,-7.29,-7.31,-14.85,-9.69,-9.26,-10.43,-63587.41,нет
xs_reversal_costaware,873400,-7.29,-7.31,-14.85,0.0,0.0,-10.43,-63587.26,нет
hour_xs_reversal,291200,-7.7,-7.77,-18.56,0.0,0.0,-13.7,-22437.45,нет
ou_ema_costaware,1047089,-7.74,-6.66,-10.64,0.0,0.0,-7.1,-81067.29,нет
ou_ema_revert,1123903,-7.84,-6.81,-11.5,0.0,0.0,-7.71,-88139.97,нет
lead_lag_btc,2311277,-8.64,-8.67,-19.41,0.0,0.0,-13.19,-199385.49,нет
liquidity_sweep,1166054,-8.85,-9.0,-21.45,0.0,0.0,-14.93,-102923.7,нет
vwap_revert,2655400,-9.42,-9.35,-18.64,0.0,0.0,-13.83,-250067.88,нет
vol_breakout,738494,-11.51,-12.43,-16.09,0.0,0.0,-12.11,-84977.02,нет
xs_momentum_15m,873500,-11.87,-12.04,-24.21,0.0,0.0,-16.99,-103609.55,нет
1 method n_trades ev_bp ev_bp_oos t_boot placebo_ev_bp rand_ev_bp sharpe max_dd_pct by_year_ok
2 prod_mr_5m 105089 2.54 1.81 4.31 0.0 0.0 3.21 -206.28 да
3 clv_flow 257017 -2.88 -5.24 -1.24 0.0 0.0 -0.83 -7515.49 нет
4 pairs_btc_eth 1944 -6.22 -2.81 -2.67 0.0 0.0 -2.25 -125.6 нет
5 intraday_momentum 125771 -6.8 -2.2 -3.64 0.0 0.0 -2.37 -9612.33 нет
6 xs_reversal_15m 873500 -7.29 -7.31 -14.85 -9.69 -9.26 -10.43 -63587.41 нет
7 xs_reversal_costaware 873400 -7.29 -7.31 -14.85 0.0 0.0 -10.43 -63587.26 нет
8 hour_xs_reversal 291200 -7.7 -7.77 -18.56 0.0 0.0 -13.7 -22437.45 нет
9 ou_ema_costaware 1047089 -7.74 -6.66 -10.64 0.0 0.0 -7.1 -81067.29 нет
10 ou_ema_revert 1123903 -7.84 -6.81 -11.5 0.0 0.0 -7.71 -88139.97 нет
11 lead_lag_btc 2311277 -8.64 -8.67 -19.41 0.0 0.0 -13.19 -199385.49 нет
12 liquidity_sweep 1166054 -8.85 -9.0 -21.45 0.0 0.0 -14.93 -102923.7 нет
13 vwap_revert 2655400 -9.42 -9.35 -18.64 0.0 0.0 -13.83 -250067.88 нет
14 vol_breakout 738494 -11.51 -12.43 -16.09 0.0 0.0 -12.11 -84977.02 нет
15 xs_momentum_15m 873500 -11.87 -12.04 -24.21 0.0 0.0 -16.99 -103609.55 нет