research(5m): прогон 14 методов на 250 парах, сверка движка, издержки, графики

ЧТО: code/ (стенд и методы), results/ (сводки), charts/ (3 графика), reports/ (издержки, плацебо, по годам), docs/REJECTED.md.

ПОЧЕМУ: цель — найти кандидатов на 5м или доказать с цифрами их отсутствие.

КАК ПРОВЕРЕНО: движок сверен с прод-движком TON-бота 1:1; плацебо и рандом-контроль в отчёте; бутстрап по дням.
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method,n_trades,ev_bp,ev_bp_oos,t_boot,placebo_ev_bp,rand_ev_bp,sharpe,max_dd_pct,by_year_ok
prod_mr_5m,105089,-4.46,-5.19,-7.65,0.0,0.0,-5.64,-4701.58,нет
clv_flow,257017,-9.88,-12.24,-4.15,0.0,0.0,-2.86,-25403.75,нет
pairs_btc_eth,1944,-13.22,-9.81,-5.85,0.0,0.0,-4.85,-256.08,нет
intraday_momentum,125771,-13.8,-9.2,-7.35,0.0,0.0,-4.8,-17786.84,нет
xs_reversal_15m,873500,-14.29,-14.31,-29.1,-16.69,-16.26,-20.44,-124648.41,нет
xs_reversal_costaware,873400,-14.29,-14.31,-29.1,0.0,0.0,-20.43,-124641.26,нет
hour_xs_reversal,291200,-14.7,-14.77,-35.34,0.0,0.0,-26.15,-42757.57,нет
ou_ema_costaware,1047089,-14.74,-13.66,-19.88,0.0,0.0,-13.43,-154108.02,нет
ou_ema_revert,1123903,-14.84,-13.81,-21.05,0.0,0.0,-14.46,-166544.66,нет
lead_lag_btc,2311277,-15.64,-15.67,-31.17,0.0,0.0,-23.18,-361023.26,нет
liquidity_sweep,1166054,-15.85,-16.0,-34.55,0.0,0.0,-25.57,-184485.18,нет
vwap_revert,2655400,-16.42,-16.35,-28.62,0.0,0.0,-23.3,-435944.62,нет
vol_breakout,738494,-18.51,-19.43,-24.03,0.0,0.0,-19.13,-136612.38,нет
xs_momentum_15m,873500,-18.87,-19.04,-38.48,0.0,0.0,-27.0,-164670.55,нет
1 method n_trades ev_bp ev_bp_oos t_boot placebo_ev_bp rand_ev_bp sharpe max_dd_pct by_year_ok
2 prod_mr_5m 105089 -4.46 -5.19 -7.65 0.0 0.0 -5.64 -4701.58 нет
3 clv_flow 257017 -9.88 -12.24 -4.15 0.0 0.0 -2.86 -25403.75 нет
4 pairs_btc_eth 1944 -13.22 -9.81 -5.85 0.0 0.0 -4.85 -256.08 нет
5 intraday_momentum 125771 -13.8 -9.2 -7.35 0.0 0.0 -4.8 -17786.84 нет
6 xs_reversal_15m 873500 -14.29 -14.31 -29.1 -16.69 -16.26 -20.44 -124648.41 нет
7 xs_reversal_costaware 873400 -14.29 -14.31 -29.1 0.0 0.0 -20.43 -124641.26 нет
8 hour_xs_reversal 291200 -14.7 -14.77 -35.34 0.0 0.0 -26.15 -42757.57 нет
9 ou_ema_costaware 1047089 -14.74 -13.66 -19.88 0.0 0.0 -13.43 -154108.02 нет
10 ou_ema_revert 1123903 -14.84 -13.81 -21.05 0.0 0.0 -14.46 -166544.66 нет
11 lead_lag_btc 2311277 -15.64 -15.67 -31.17 0.0 0.0 -23.18 -361023.26 нет
12 liquidity_sweep 1166054 -15.85 -16.0 -34.55 0.0 0.0 -25.57 -184485.18 нет
13 vwap_revert 2655400 -16.42 -16.35 -28.62 0.0 0.0 -23.3 -435944.62 нет
14 vol_breakout 738494 -18.51 -19.43 -24.03 0.0 0.0 -19.13 -136612.38 нет
15 xs_momentum_15m 873500 -18.87 -19.04 -38.48 0.0 0.0 -27.0 -164670.55 нет